JAX · QB

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence is a quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Depth chart: QB1.

Scouting report

Trevor Lawrence: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated October 20, 2026

Trevor Lawrence at a glance

Trevor Lawrence is a 27-year-old quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars, listed at 6'6" and 220 pounds. The Jacksonville Jaguars drafted Lawrence 1st overall in the first round in 2021, out of Clemson; this is year six in the league.

2026 projection

Our season projection has Lawrence at 314.6 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB7 at the position and works out to 18.5 points per game over 17.0 projected games. The stat line behind that number is 4,590 passing yards, 23.2 passing touchdowns, 330 rushing yards and 4.5 rushing touchdowns. The model does not treat that as a promise: the range of outcomes runs from 40 points at the 5th percentile to 514 at the 95th, with a median of 315 and 78% projection confidence.

2026 season so far

Through 6 games of 2026, Lawrence has scored 114.2 PPR points, or 19.0 per game. That is 36.3% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Lawrence would finish with about 324 points, in line with the 314.6 projected. The best week so far is 27.3 points in Week 6 against HOU, the QB1 finish that week. Lawrence has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 4 of 6 games, a 67% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 34 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Lawrence ranks in the 96th percentile in pass TDs, the 96th percentile in td rate and the 84th percentile in yards per attempt. Four of the 8 tracked categories sit at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 37th percentile in interception rate.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Lawrence has finished as QB23 in 2021, QB7 in 2022, QB12 in 2023, QB27 in 2024 and QB4 in 2025. Three of those 5 seasons ended inside the top twelve. The high-water mark is 338.2 PPR points in 2025. Across 83 regular-season games on record, the totals read 19,302 passing yards, 112 passing touchdowns, 1,512 rushing yards and 23 rushing touchdowns.

Trevor Lawrence by the numbers

Lawrence has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 5 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 13 times and finished in the top twelve 36 times. The career high is 44.3 PPR points, set in Week 15 of 2025 against NYJ, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 4 games of 30 or more PPR points, 13 300-yard passing games and 19 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Lawrence has reached 20 points in 22 games, 27% of career appearances.

How the production happens

In 2026, Lawrence threw 4.6 deep passes per game (15 or more air yards) and completed 57% of them, against 23.8 short attempts per game at 70%. About 8.8 passes per game fell incomplete. Average time to throw was 2.87 seconds.

Contract

Lawrence is playing on a five-year, $275 million contract signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2024, an average of $55 million per year with $142 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2028 season.

Dynasty market

In dynasty formats Lawrence carries a GV stock price of 5,853, which ranks 16th overall and QB5 among quarterbacks out of 940 priced players. In redraft the same model ranks Lawrence 45th overall. Value has moved down 5.2 since the previous model run. The closest profiles by the similarity model are Joe Burrow, Daniel Jones and Bo Nix. See where Lawrence sits on the trade value chart.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
314.6
PPR / game
18.5
Pass yards
4,590
Pass TD
23.2
Rush yards
330
Rush TD
4.5

Trevor Lawrence fantasy outlook

Trevor Lawrence enters the 2026 season with JAX and ranks QB7 and #14 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 314.6 PPR points across 17.0 games, or 18.5 points per game, placing the expected outcome in an elite fantasy tier. The preseason depth chart lists Trevor Lawrence as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Trevor Lawrence produced 338.2 PPR points in 17 games (19.9 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 59%, with a 84% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Week 3 projection

Trevor Lawrence is projected for 20.6 PPR points at home against NE in week 3, with a likely range of 3.2 to 49.1.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is down 5.2 since the previous model run (falling).

Redraft
53.5
Dynasty
56.8
Superflex redraft
91.4
Superflex dynasty
94.1
TE premium dynasty
34.2

Compare Trevor Lawrence on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026JAX61201841,480144700114.2
2025JAX173415604,00729123599338.2
2024JAX101722842,0451171193145.2
2023JAX163705644,01621143394262.5
2022JAX173875844,1132582915295.6
2021JAX173596023,64112173342199.0

Quarterbacks ranked near Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars fantasy players

Jacksonville Jaguars depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-10-20.