BUF · QB

Josh Allen

Josh Allen is a quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. Depth chart: QB1.

Scouting report

Josh Allen: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated October 20, 2026

Josh Allen at a glance

Josh Allen is a 30-year-old quarterback for the Buffalo Bills, listed at 6'5" and 237 pounds. The Buffalo Bills drafted Allen 7th overall in the first round in 2018, out of Wyoming, and 2026 is Allen's 9th NFL season.

2026 projection

The Gridiron Value season model projects Allen for 339.2 PPR points in 2026, which ranks QB4 at the position and works out to 20.0 points per game over 17.0 projected games. The stat line behind that number is 4,674 passing yards, 25.2 passing touchdowns, 384 rushing yards and 5.5 rushing touchdowns. The model does not treat that as a promise: the range of outcomes runs from 44 points at the 5th percentile to 520 at the 95th, with a median of 339 and 78% projection confidence.

2026 season so far

Through 6 games of 2026, Allen has scored 161.3 PPR points, or 26.9 per game. That is 47.5% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Allen would finish with about 457 points, ahead of the 339.2 projected. The best week so far is 40.8 points in Week 2 against DET, the QB1 finish that week. Allen has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 5 of 6 games, a 83% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 34 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Allen ranks in the 99th percentile in rush yards, the 96th percentile in yards per attempt and the 81st percentile in pass yards. Four of the 8 tracked categories sit at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 31st percentile in interception rate.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Allen has finished as QB1 in 2020, QB1 in 2021, QB2 in 2022, QB1 in 2023, QB2 in 2024 and QB1 in 2025. That is six top-five positional finishes in 8 completed seasons. The high-water mark is 402.6 PPR points in 2021. Across 132 regular-season games on record, the totals read 31,576 passing yards, 229 passing touchdowns, 4,961 rushing yards and 87 rushing touchdowns.

Josh Allen by the numbers

Allen has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 22 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 57 times and finished in the top twelve 85 times. The career high is 51.9 PPR points, set in Week 14 of 2024 against LA, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 27 games of 30 or more PPR points, 32 300-yard passing games and 55 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Allen has reached 20 points in 78 games, 59% of career appearances.

How the production happens

In 2026, Allen threw 6.8 deep passes per game (15 or more air yards) and completed 47% of them, against 20.8 short attempts per game at 72%. About 8.6 passes per game fell incomplete. Average time to throw was 2.89 seconds.

Contract

Allen is playing on a six-year, $330 million contract signed with the Buffalo Bills in 2025, an average of $55 million per year with $147 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2030 season.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
339.2
PPR / game
20.0
Pass yards
4,674
Pass TD
25.2
Rush yards
384
Rush TD
5.5

Josh Allen fantasy outlook

Josh Allen enters the 2026 season with BUF and ranks QB4 and #7 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 339.2 PPR points across 17.0 games, or 20.0 points per game, placing the expected outcome in an elite fantasy tier. The preseason depth chart lists Josh Allen as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, Josh Allen produced 364.6 PPR points in 16 games (22.8 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 64%, with a 90% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Week 2 projection

Josh Allen is projected for 19.8 PPR points at home against DET in week 2, with a likely range of 2.8 to 44.7.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is up 1.6 since the previous model run (stable).

Redraft
65.7
Dynasty
65.0
Superflex redraft
100.0
Superflex dynasty
100.0
TE premium dynasty
39.2

Compare Josh Allen on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026BUF61141711,504942408161.3
2025BUF163194603,668251057914364.6
2024BUF163074833,73128653112379.0
2023BUF173855794,306291852415392.6
2022BUF163595674,28335147627395.5
2021BUF174096464,40736157636402.6
2020BUF163965724,54437104218396.1
2019BUF162714613,0892095109288.6
2018BUF121683192,04410126318206.9

Quarterbacks ranked near Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills fantasy players

Buffalo Bills depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-10-20.