HOU · QB

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud is a quarterback for the Houston Texans. Depth chart: QB1.

Scouting report

C.J. Stroud: the full picture

Written automatically from Gridiron Value model data · updated October 20, 2026

C.J. Stroud at a glance

C.J. Stroud is a 25-year-old quarterback for the Houston Texans, listed at 6'3" and 218 pounds. The Houston Texans drafted Stroud 2nd overall in the first round in 2023, out of Ohio State; this is year four in the league.

2026 projection

Our season projection has Stroud at 263.3 PPR points for 2026, which ranks QB16 at the position and works out to 16.2 points per game over 17.0 projected games.

2026 season so far

Through 6 games of 2026, Stroud has scored 112.2 PPR points, or 18.7 per game. That is 42.6% of the full-season projection; at the current rate Stroud would finish with about 318 points, ahead of the 263.3 projected. The best week so far is 23.1 points in Week 4 against DAL, the QB3 finish that week. Stroud has cleared the 18-point mark we count as a usable QB start in 3 of 6 games, a 50% consistency rate.

Percentile profile

Measured against the 34 qualified quarterbacks of 2026, Stroud ranks in the 96th percentile in pass yards, the 96th percentile in CPOE and the 93rd percentile in intended air yards. Five of the 8 tracked categories sit at or above the 75th percentile. The softest mark is the 40th percentile in td rate.

Career track record

By season-long PPR scoring, Stroud has finished as QB9 in 2023, QB18 in 2024 and QB21 in 2025. One of those 3 seasons ended inside the top twelve. The high-water mark is 276.0 PPR points in 2023. Across 52 regular-season games on record, the totals read 12,590 passing yards, 71 passing touchdowns, 685 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns.

C.J. Stroud by the numbers

Stroud has been the highest-scoring quarterback of the week 2 times, finished in the weekly top five at the position 5 times and finished in the top twelve 16 times. The career high is 41.8 PPR points, set in Week 9 of 2023 against TB, the top QB score of that week. The game log also shows 2 games of 30 or more PPR points, 12 300-yard passing games and 6 games with three or more touchdowns. In all, Stroud has reached 20 points in 13 games, 25% of career appearances.

How the production happens

In 2026, Stroud threw 8.4 deep passes per game (15 or more air yards) and completed 38% of them, against 27.8 short attempts per game at 74%. About 13.2 passes per game fell incomplete. Average time to throw was 2.82 seconds.

Contract

Stroud is playing on a four-year, $36.3 million contract signed with the Houston Texans in 2023, an average of $9.1 million per year with $36.3 million guaranteed. The deal runs through the 2026 season.

Dynasty market

In dynasty formats Stroud carries a GV stock price of 4,998, which ranks 62nd overall and QB20 among quarterbacks out of 940 priced players. In redraft the same model ranks Stroud 64th overall. Value has moved up 3.8 since the previous model run. The closest profiles by the similarity model are Joe Burrow, Cam Ward and Baker Mayfield. See where Stroud sits on the trade value chart.

2026 projected stat line

Projected PPR
263.3
PPR / game
16.2

C.J. Stroud fantasy outlook

C.J. Stroud enters the 2026 season with HOU and ranks QB16 and #29 overall in the current Gridiron Value projection. The model projects 263.2 PPR points across 16.2 games, or 16.2 points per game, placing the expected outcome in a strong starter tier. The preseason depth chart lists C.J. Stroud as QB1, so the opportunity forecast is tied to that current role rather than name value alone. In 2025, C.J. Stroud produced 208.5 PPR points in 14 games (14.9 per game), giving the projection a recent performance baseline. Projection confidence is 60%, with a 66% modeled chance of a Top-24 positional finish. The main variables are role stability, team scoring volume, and normal efficiency variance.

Week 1 projection

C.J. Stroud is projected for 15.4 PPR points at home against BUF in week 1, with a likely range of 1.1 to 35.1.

Trade value

Gridiron Value prices every player from 0 to 100 within each league format. Value is up 3.8 since the previous model run (stable).

Redraft
49.0
Dynasty
48.5
Superflex redraft
88.5
Superflex dynasty
88.7
TE premium dynasty
29.2

Compare C.J. Stroud on the trade value chart

Career stats

SeasonTeamGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDPPR
2026HOU61432191,71491761112.2
2025HOU142734233,0411982091208.5
2024HOU173365323,72720122330220.4
2023HOU153194994,1082351673276.0

Quarterbacks ranked near C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans fantasy players

Houston Texans depth chart and projections

Projections are model estimates, not recorded results. Snapshot 2026-10-20.